A day after Wall Street closed the books on its worst quarter in two years, stocks vacillated between red and green following a March jobs report that was viewed as disappointing on some counts and encouraging on others.
The Labor Department said Friday that 431,000 nonfarm payrolls were added last month. That was shy of estimates for 478,000 jobs, and well off February’s upwardly revised figure of 750,000.
The unemployment rate, however, dipped to a new post-COVID-19 low of 3.6%, just off the historic floor of 3.5% set in February 2020 and better than estimates for 3.7%. Average hourly earnings continued to swell too, up 5.6% year-over-year with significant gains made in lower-income positions.
Importantly, the data suggest jobs growth can continue at a robust rate.
“We think it’s likely that labor market gains, and further wage increases, could be sustained for a while,” says Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s chief investment officer of global fixed income. “For example, there is still a 1.5 million worker shortfall in the leisure and hospitality industry alone relative to the February 2020 level.”
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Rhea Thomas, senior economist at wealth services provider Wilmington Trust, doesn’t expect the March jobs report to change the Federal Reserve’s current policy, but it could offer the central bank a little more flexibility. “[It] still gives them the green light to hike in May, and we expect another hike in June, but we think if the wage and inflation data shows signs of deceleration on a month-over-month basis, it could give them room to assess before moving forward.”
The major indexes finished an up-and-down session in positive territory. The Dow Jones Industrial Average managed a 0.4% gain to 34,818, the S&P 500 improved 0.3% to 4,545 and the Nasdaq Composite also closed 0.3% higher to 14,261.
Other news in the stock market today:
- The small-cap Russell 2000 jumped 1.0% to 2,091.
- U.S. crude futures fell 1% to end at $99.27 per barrel. For the week, crude oil lost nearly 13%, its biggest such decline since April 2020.
- Gold futures shed 1.6% to settle at $1,923.70 an ounce, bringing its weekly loss above 1%.
- Bitcoin rebounded 1.7% to $46,396.70. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
- U.S.-listed Chinese stocks traded higher today. This came after a report in Bloomberg suggested the China Securities Regulatory Commission and other regulators are considering giving U.S. authorities access to auditing reports later this year – marking a sharp reversal from Beijing. This will allow the majority of Chinese firms to keep their listings on U.S. exchanges. Alibaba Group (BABA, +1.3%), Bilibili (BILI, +8.0%) and Pinduoduo (PDD, +6.3%) were among those that gained ground.
- Tellurian (TELL) surged 19.4% after Credit Suisse analyst Spiro Dounis upgraded the energy stock to Outperform from Neutral (the equivalents of Buy and Hold, respectively). ” Three factors drive the upgrade,” Dounis writes in a note. “First, we believe TELL is close to sanctioning the Driftwood LNG project. Second, we’re ascribing value to future project phases given the strong demand for U.S. liquified natural gas (LNG). Third, LNG prices remain high and may be structurally higher for the foreseeable future.” TELL has now more than doubled for the year-to-date.
- Amazon.com (AMZN, +0.4%) was little changed today after workers at its Staten Island warehouse voted to join a union. This marks a first for workers at any of the e-commerce giant’s U.S. facilities.
High Yield With High Diversification
Dividends are probably doing more for your portfolio than you think.
Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst for S&P Dow Jones Indices, released his latest data dive into the S&P 500 on Friday, looking into the index’s valuation, yields and returns.
“From January 1926 through March 2022, the annualized total return for the S&P 500 [which includes both price gains and dividends reinvested] was 10.48% per year,” he says.
Critically, a bit more than 38% of those returns were attributable to dividends. That might sound surprising, given that the S&P 500 currently yields 1.3% and has yielded a mere 1.9% on average over the past decade. But remember, many of the index’s components have been growing their dividends over that time. The relentless rise of the S&P 500’s level is what has kept the yield low. (Prices and yields move in opposite directions.)
The S&P 500 might have enough income-generating power for some investors. For those who would prefer collecting an even greater percentage of their returns in regular cash distributions, an array of high-yield options are at their disposal. These nine generous payers, for instance, yield at least 5%, easily outpacing the S&P 500 and most fixed-income options.
You can also take a more diversified approach to high-yield via exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The following 10 high-yield ETFs pursue strategies that will suit conservative and aggressive investors alike, but they all share one trait: plentiful yields of at least 4%.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.